Training course
You can leave the science, but not before you write a textbook.
The precept to Professors
The course is based on the books of the author, what have second edition in Russian and English languages.
Lectures
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Foundations of LP-theory of risk and efficiency of systems.
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Representation of systems as structurally complex objects with L-variables and a finite set of random events.
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The transition from the statistical tabular database (DB) to the knowledge base (KB) in the form of L-equations.
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Two types of events in the statistical data: the emergence and failure of states.
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Classes of LP-models of risk and efficiency.
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Boolean algebra and logic variables in LP-models of risk and efficiency.
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Groups of incompatible events and Bayes' formula.
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Connection of risk LP-models for different classes.
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Structural, logical and probabilistic risk models.
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Risk LP-models of class LP-modeling
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Risk LP-models of class LP-classification.
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Risk LP-models of class LP-forecasting.
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Procedures of technology of automated systems LP-management.
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Dynamic and combined risk LP-models.
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Databases and Lp-model for identification of topologically and functionally dangerous elements of infrastructure.
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Identify of models of classes of LP-classification by statistical data.
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LP-analysis of risk and efficiency of systems.
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LP-management of risk and efficiency of systems on monitoring data.
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Example of risk management of development of system.
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Software for classes of risk LP-models.
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LP-model of non-success risk for deciding difficult economic problems.
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I ³-technology for management of risk and efficiency in economics.
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LP-management of invalid risk in economic processes and systems.
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Classification of developments and investment on LP-management of risk and efficiency in structurally complex systems.
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Forecasting risk and disasters in the economic and technical systems.
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Axioms and theorems of LP-management of risk and efficiency.
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LP-model of credit risk of individuals.
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LP-model of credit risk of legal persons.
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LP-modeling and analysis of operational risks.
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Scenario risk LP-model of bribes and corruption.
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LP-models of security portfolio risk.
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LP-model of non-success risk of management of company.
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LP-analysis of risk and efficiency of a restaurant (shop, warehouse).
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Review of applications and features of LP-management of risk and efficiency.
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The terms and subject indexes of LP-management of risk and efficiency.
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Some details of the algebra of logic.
Laboratory works
We use in laboratory works on the training course "LP-management of risk and efficiency in the economics" special software. Laboratory work is performed by classes of risk LP- models.
LP-models of efficiency. LP-models of security portfolio risk
Work 1. LP-choice of structure of security portfolio.
Work 2. LP-analysis of the portfolio and parameters of its risk and yields.
Work 3. LP-optimization of security portfolio.
Work 4. Evaluation of efficiency of LP-management by portfolio.
LP-models of classification. LP-models of credit risks
Work 1. Identification of the risk LP-model on statistics.
Work 2. Assessment and analysis of credit risk.
Work 3. Asymmetry of recognition of good and bad credits.
Work 4. Analysis of the LP-model of credit risk.
Work 5. Analysis of credit activity of a bank.
LP-modeling
The scenarios developed by the students of the 5th course and the post-graduates of the specialties "Informational technologies in economics” and "Economical cybernatics” are as follows:
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Non-success risk of economics restoration in the RF
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Risk of a person’s death
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Non-success risk of the company’s development
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Non-success risk of getting education
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Risk of EURO fall
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Non-success risk of the company’s functioning
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Risk of the service system failure
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Risk of collision of two cars at a cross-road
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Risk of the company’s staff reduction
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Risk of the company’s financing stop
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Non-success risk of activities and election of the President
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Risk of reduction of the enterprise’s profit
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Risk of the world crisis
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Risk of political non-stability in the country
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Risk of public disturbances in RF
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Risk of a restaurant’s ruin
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Risk of a design-studio’s bankruptcy
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Risk of efficiency reduction of the enterprise’s activities
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Risk of the crisis in RF
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Non-success risk of marketing strategy of the company
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Risk of the oil prices’ fall
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Risk of ill-luck in a person’s life
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Risk of non-success of difficult economic problems solution
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Risk of bribes and corruption in an office
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Risk of the officials’ bribes
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Risk of bribes while servicing
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Risk of non-success of small and medium-scale business development
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Risk of non-success of bank risks management etc
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Risk of non-validity of testing and developing of the system
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